Political Predictions

There is so much talk about Democrats taking over Congress that I am starting to experience a 2004 flashback. Remember when all those exit polls were broadcast early in the day on Election Day and ALL of them said John Kerry was our next president?
Certainly, the war in Iraq and the recent GOP political scandals have changed the momentum of some of the congressional races, but when those voters in Tennessee, Virginia, Pennsylvania and other key states go to the polls, will any of those recent developments make them change their vote from a Republican to a Democrat? More importantly, will it spur them to vote against an incumbent when incumbents have notoriously high re-election rates?
I'd like to know what the rest of you think. Who do you think will control the House and Senate after the November 7th elections?
My answer will be in the first comment.

My classic Germany moment

Yesterday we took the kids and a young neighbor to an open house at a horse farm outside a village about 30 minutes away from our house. I found myself watching Julia, our 11 year-old friend, ride a mechanical bull while listening to "Stars on 45" pumping through a loud sound system. Surreal. One can also take lessons in Country Western dancing, roping, and barrel racing here, in addition to riding lessons and trail rides. Weird.